This looks like a cracking week, Crusaders v Hurricanes get us started this week, followed by Rebels v Sunwolves, later on Friday we have the Jaguares looking for their sixth win in a row, Saturday we get two AUS v NZ games one home and one away, with the Bulls & Stormers both at home for the last two SA Games of the weekend.
I am spending 18 units, 4 more units than last week with only one five unit play, although I am not massively confident on all the games, I am reasonably confident over all of them bar the very first game on Friday.
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Bring on the 15th Round of Super Rugby 2018
Super Rugby Round 15
Crusaders v Hurricanes
Crusaders need this win, they are under pressure from the game in hand Hurricanes, neither impressed me last week, in fact neither impressed me in the last few weeks, Hurricanes were simply pedestrian last week, making schoolboy error after schoolboy error. Crusaders back at home this week and I am of the opinion that they need this win more. I have kept my stakes to an absolute minimum here and I am not really interested in this game. Call: Crusaders -1.5 at 0.5 units
Kick off is scheduled for 09h35 GMT +2 on Friday in Christchurch. The referee for this game will be Angus Gardner (AUS), Click here for the Weather in Christchurch and if you want to follow the game on Twitter click here for the Hastag #CRUvHUR
Rebels v Sunwolves
Rebels minus started at a reasonable eight and nine, then news came out that the Japanese national team had called up their players to a camp for the June Intls. Unfortunately this affect the Sunwolves big time, however the handicap that followed was ridiculous to say the least, the bookies over corrected by far too much as the handicap soared to an unbelievable twenty four. Now the market has simmered down to around the twenty mark. I do not believe the Sunwolves will be smashed, in fact I will not be surprised if they win, and I have gone for a bit of value here. Call: Sunwolves +17.5 at 14/10 for 2 units
Kick off is scheduled for 11h45 GMT +2 on Friday in Melbourne. The referee for this game will be Frederico Anselmi (ARG), Click here for the Weather in Melbourne and if you want to follow the game on Twitter click here for the Hastag #REBvSUN
Jaguares v Sharks
This one I have been waiting for, the #BestBetoftheWeek by a country mile, there is no way on anyone’s green earth the Sharks will come close here, yes they have beaten the Jaguares all four of the previous home and away games, but this is a different Jaguares team on a five game winning run, the right thing to do here would have been to go with a second string squad. Sharks have gone full on hoping to stem the tide of the Jaguares racing to an improbable SA conference win. Anyway I have split my play into two go’s, the latter being a rather bold play at higher odds, but I honestly think this one is push the chips forward, borrow cash, this one is #RaceOver put the result in and pay the punters. The Sharks will probably hold on in the first half, but in the second forty it will be all over as the Jaguares will dominate and pull clear. Call: Jaguares -6.5 at 3 units & Jaguares -18.5 at 4/1 for 2 units
Kick off is scheduled for 21h40 GMT +2 on Friday in Buenos Aires. The referee for this game will be Paul Williams (NZ), Click here for the Weather in Buenos Aires and if you want to follow the game on Twitter click here for the Hastag #JAGvSHA
Chiefs v Waratahs
Chiefs also like the Highlanders cannot foreseeably win the NZ conference, they WILL qualify, however the Waratahs, Aussie’s leading team have a bigger than even chance of beating this rather large handicap set by the bookies. On my whats app group I suggested that I expected the line to be around the fourteen to fifteen mark, but even at eight I am happy. Call: Waratahs +10.5 at 2.5 units
Kick off is scheduled for 09h35 GMT +2 on Saturday in Hamilton. The referee for this game will be Glen Jackson (NZ), Click here for the Weather in Hamilton and if you want to follow the game on Twitter click here for the Hastag #CHIvWAR
Reds v Highlanders
Reds are given a double digit start this week, it is against a team that are so far away from winning the Super Rugby NZ Conference it’s not even funny, like the Chiefs they WILL qualify, but winning is a step too far. They were comfortably beaten last week, never mind the Red card, they were under pressure before that instance. The Reds are like a proper Yo-Yo you never really know where they are going to get going, their season is also over from a qualification point of view, however given the start we have been given the call must go to the Reds on value. Call: reds +12.5 at 1.5 units & Reds on the board at 4/1 for 0.5 units
Kick off is scheduled for 11h45 GMT +2 on Saturday in Brisbane. The referee for this game will be Rasta Rasivhenge (SA), Click here for the Weather in Brisbane and if you want to follow the game on Twitter click here for the Hastag #REDvHIG
Bulls v Brumbies
Brumbies are gone, nothing bar an absolute miracle will get this team close, the Bulls WILL bounce back, it is highly statistical that a team getting smashed one week often come back and turn it around, the Bulls are going to be that team. I honestly cannot see this Brumbies team that has nothing to play for showing up at Loftus on Saturday doing anything other than losing big!! The Bulls on the other hand have massive pressure, coming from the Sharks and Jaguares in the SA Conference. I have mentioned it a few times, there are more than likely to be three qualifiers from the SA Conference, sadly for Stormers fans it will not be their team for the first time since ever!! One of the Sharks, Bulls & Jaguares will be losing out, for me it is one of the Bulls or Sharks, they have everything to play for. This week’s call is bold but I reckon it will be in the money early on. Call: Bulls -14.5 at 18/10 for 3 units
Kick off is scheduled for 15h05 GMT +2 on Saturday at Loftus. The referee for this game will be Marius van der Westhuizen (SA), Click here for the Weather in Pretoria and if you want to follow the game on Twitter click here for the Hastag #BULvBRU
Stormers v Lions
Lions unbeaten in twenty local fixtures dating back to early in 2015 i.e. they have not lost to another SA Conference team in around a thousand days home or away. I cannot see it happening this week, sure Hanrick is 100% correct calling this one #RubbishvRubbish, but there is no doubt in my Flecking mind that there is only one result here, I cannot see the Stormers winning this one, they are super-duper rubbish, they are country miles more rubbish than the Lions, they have done nothing for me to suggest otherwise. Although I have won a lot of cash this year on the Stormers it has been opposing them not punting them. I have split my stake and have gone for a rather bold play at a very reasonable price. Call: Lions -4.5 at 2 units & Lions -18.5 at 4/1 for 1 unit
Kick off is scheduled for 17h15 GMT +2 on Saturday at Newlands. The referee for this game will be Nick Briant (NZ), Click here for the Weather in Cape Town and if you want to follow the game on Twitter click here for the Hastag #STOvLIO