Preview: Week 66
Super Rugby 2018 Final Round sees a couple of NZ Derbies, a couple of dead rubbers and one or two mouth-watering games to keep us rugby loving and punting chaps happy and something to look forward to, Oracle has had a torrid three weeks and surely will bounce back this weekend with some interesting plays…
Chiefs v Hurricanes
Chiefs have had a couple of great starts, sure they almost tossed it away last week, but I like them, there is an interesting situation here, the Chiefs can overtake the Canes into the valued 4th position on the log, the 4th place team is at home for a quarter final, so definitely something to play for.
I am surprised the Chiefs are not favourite here, in fact I am bold enough to say they may win this by ten or more, closer to GT I may have a strike, but at this stage I will settle for the board price.
Hurricanes would not be too concerned about this game, the holes v Brumbies and Blues last week suggest the Chiefs are big runners, it is after all a NZ derby. It should be a cracker!!
This is a big play, it’s my joint second best bet for the weekend and deserves some respect, and the price is just too high about a NZ team at home that is in the playoffs. This is 100% about value.
Call: Chiefs on the board at 33/20 for 3 units (Bet taken at Morris Vee)
Kick off is scheduled for 09h35 GMT +2 on Friday in Hamilton. The referee for this game will be Mike Fraser (NZ), Click here for the Weather in Hamilton and if you want to follow the game on Twitter click here for the Hashtag #CHIvHUR
One Thousand Apologies for the numerous mention of Waratahs in the Chiefs v Hurricanes game video!! I have absolutely no idea how I got that one wrong!!
Reds v Sunwolves
On the video I suggested I could not remember if the Sunwolves beat the reds, ha ha, how could I forget, they smashed them by around forty!!
Bar the red card last week, the Sunwolves have had a great two weeks, beating the Bulls, in fact coming from behind to beat them, up until a few minutes from HT last week they were leading the Tahs by six, the red card sorted that game out and as they say the rest is history.
The Sunwolves have a bit of value in their board price and although they may not win it is just too big to ignore, especially in a dead rubber.
Call: Sunwolves on the board at 3.65/1 for 1 unit (Bet taken at Morris Vee)
Kick off is scheduled for 11h40 GMT +2 on Friday in Brisbane. The referee for this game will be Ben O’Keefe (NZ), Click here for the Weather in Brisbane and if you want to follow the game on Twitter click here for the Hashtag #REDvSUN
Highlanders v Rebels
They banter going around is that the Highlanders may just throw this one, sure it makes sense, playing the Waratahs in Sydney a far better option for the Highlanders than to trek over to Jozi and face the Lions, but throwing matches in Super Rugby, I just don’t reckon is a runner, playing half a team and blooding a few youngsters may be a far better option of the landers, losing at these stakes will not be such a bad thing, resting the better guys.
Rebels have something to play for, if they win they secure 8th and possibly even 7th depending on the Jaguares in Durban later the same day. I just cannot see the rebels winning this one, even against a weak Highlanders team if they even show up, the rebels have lost two on the bounce v Aussie opposition and they are out of their depth in this fixture. For that reason I will go for a speculative play at -19.5 at a reasonable 2/1, the play will be small though, not a lot of confidence, just some value.
**This is a late afternoon game**
Call: Highlanders -19.5 at 2/1 for 0.5 units (Bet taken at WSB)
Kick off is scheduled for 07h15 GMT +2 on Saturday in Dunedin. The referee for this game will be Glen Jackson (NZ), Click here for the Weather in Dunedin and if you want to follow the game on Twitter click here for the Hashtag #HIGvREB
Crusaders v Blues
Blues, Blues, Blues, I honestly have nothing much to say here, my 2nd worst punted team this season, I have absolutely no confidence here, but I will have one last crack at the Blues, with a modest fifteen and a half start its good enough for me to have an absolute minute play.
Call: Blues +15.5 at 0.25 units (Bet taken at WSB)
Kick off is scheduled for 09h35 GMT +2 on Saturday in Christchurch. The referee for this game will be Frederico Anselmi (ARG), Click here for the Weather in Christchurch and if you want to follow the game on Twitter click here for the Hashtag #CRUvBLU
Waratahs v Brumbies
Two to one about the Brumbies away in Sydney is nothing to smart at, its value, this is a dead rubber, well almost, but at 2/1 I am most definitely interested, sure it’s not maximum, I would be an idiot going max on a dead rubber, but I will have a go, the Waratahs have secured top spot, they have not secured 2nd on the Log, the Lions can take that from them, so yes there is a little for them to play for, but the Brumbies have had two stellar weeks, I have gone against them twice and seen my arse, I will not make that mistake again, fresh from two decent efforts albeit in the second halves of both matches has my attention.
I like the brumbies to come close if not win.
Call: Brumbies on the board at 2/1 for 1 unit (Bet taken at WSB)
Kick off is scheduled for 11h45 GMT +2 on Saturday in Sydney The referee for this game will be Angus Gardner (AUS), Click here for the Weather in Sydney and if you want to follow the game on Twitter click here for the Hashtag #WARvBRU
Lions v Bulls
Plus ten and a half, it’s just too much, the Lions having a break last week, holding onto their top spot in the SA Conference by a thread, now have a better hold on it than last week. Jaguares were not able to grab it last week, when getting seven in a row just to be in the hunt.
Bulls played unbelievably when down by nineteen, that second half display something to admire, this is a derby and I will treat it as such, the Lions may well win here, but by double digits, I cannot see it, sure the Bulls have nothing to play for, or do they? Surely they do not want to come last in the conference that on its own should be enough motivation.
I will go with the Bulls here with a reasonable amount of confidence.
Call: Bulls 10.5 at 3 units (Bet taken at Keith Ho BetXchange)
Kick off is scheduled for 15h05 GMT +2 on Saturday at Ellis Park. The referee for this game will be Marius van der Westhuizen (SA), Click here for the Weather in Johannesburg and if you want to follow the game on Twitter click here for the Hashtag #LIOvBUL
Sharks v Jaguares
Sharks play the Jaguares on Saturday evening, again I will be at this game, I have both underestimated the Sharks and have been far too bullish on their chances, this game I am looking at from a far more disciplined vantage point, the hunger for the Sharks should be far too much for the much travelled Jaguares, this game may be one too far for them, sure I have the Jaguares to qualify at 12/1 taken on the 7th of May, but I am not an idiot, their form against the Big four in the Republic leaves a lot to be desired, they have done ok v Sharks, but the Sharks will have their measure at home.
There is one thing to consider though, if the Bulls beat the Lions in the three O’clock game, then the Jaguares have a sniff, but only a sniff. As it stands right now, this is my Best Bet of the weekend!!
Call: Sharks -4.5 at 5 units (Bet taken at WSB)
Kick off is scheduled for 17h15 GMT +2 on Saturday at Kings Park. The referee for this game will be Rasta Rasivhenge (SA), Click here for the Weather in Durban and if you want to follow the game on Twitter click here for the Hashtag #SHAvJAG