All Blacks v Los Pumas
Never beaten the All Blacks
Los Pumas take on the world’s best, the world’s best who dispatched of the Wallabies twice. So striking were the Bledisloe games that one cannot wait for this All Blacks v Los Pumas encounter. Los Pumas have never beaten the All Blacks, the closest they have come in twenty six matches, home, away or on a neutral field was a draw in 1986.
Since then Los Pumas have been beaten by less than ten twice, between ten and twenty another nine times. Recently though is what we are more interested in. Since 2011 when Los Pumas joined the Rugby Championship Los Pumas have stayed well within the current handicap set by the Bookies of 27.5 all but once. Los Pumas were beaten by thirty five in Hamilton two years ago.
We are obviously talking about home NZ games here, in 2011 they lost by twenty three, since then it’s been great. If I remember correctly the handicap has always been around twenty sevenish. This week I have to say the value clearly lies with Los Pumas.
Could there be an upset in Nelson?
Mario Ledesma has to be upbeat, he was the coach of the Jaguares winning twice against all the odds v Blues & Chiefs earlier this year. He knows his stuff, he has my respect. Los Pumas have absolutely nothing to lose here.
Statistically speaking, especially for the points punters, Los Pumas have scored more than twelve points on four occasions, in fact over twenty in the last two visits to the land of the long white cloud!
The handicap this week is a bit too big. In fact it is my #BestBetoftheWeek by a country mile. I will be very surprised if Los Pumas get done by more than twenty never mind twenty seven.
My call here is a split bet, OK well almost split, at 18/1 about the freak result I am interested as well as a generously priced twenty three and a half. The latter being a winner in all but one of the last seven home games in NZ.
Kick off is scheduled for 09h35 GMT +2 on Saturday in Nelson. The referee for this game will be Pascal Gauzere (FRA), Click here for the Weather in Nelson and if you want to follow the game on Twitter click here for the Hashtag #NZLvARG
Call: Los Pumas +23.5 for 4.5 units at 13/10 and Los Pumas on the board at 18/1 for half a unit.
In addition, for those looking for some more value, I suggest backing Los Pumas to win the first half, you should get around the 7/1 or bigger mark, also the HT / FT market is a runner with Los Pumas onto All Blacks, this could be as high as 10/1
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