All Blacks v Springboks
Cake Tin Awaits
All Blacks v Springboks in Wellington on Saturday is sure to be a thriller. Fresh from their handicap defeat v Los Pumas, New Zealand have been set a modest 22pt handicap by the Bookies. Springboks beating last week’s Handicap, but losing the two v Los Pumas will be looking to go back to back.
Yes above I have been discussing the handicap markets, obviously NZ have won all three. Australia one and the Boks one. Last week New Zealand played good rugby, but they certainly did not have things go their way. Argentina frustrated them, by simply never giving up.
Springboks played well last week for most of the first half, getting themselves up to an eight point lead. Unfortunately after the dodgy lineout debacle things moved South quickly. Effectively Australia won the rest of the match 16 – 3.
Handre Pollard starts in the Cake Tin, interestingly Jesse Kriel has been switched to wing, and we spoke about this on the What the Ruck show on Tuesday night. This may be a clever move from Rassie. Rassie is under massive pressure.
Pollard & Crotty to Start
In the last two encounters in New Zealand, South Africa have been beaten by more than the twenty two points on offer this week. Prior to that the Springboks although lost, lost by 14 & 4 in 2013 & 2014 respectfully. One of those matches included a RED card to Bismarck.
Ryan Crotty starts this week, and Sonny Bill Williams on the bench, Beauden Barrett is back and there is no space for Richie Mo’unga in the starting twenty three.
The Boks have lost in New Zealand every time since 2009 when the Springboks won by 3 in Hamilton, that was a back to back win in the land of the long white cloud.
Twenty Two and a half points is simply the highest handicap we have seen for this fixture ever. One could argue and say it is deserved because NZ have beaten South Africa by fifty seven before. For me it’s a little too much, I believe that the Springboks at this level offer value. Sure NZ have beaten the Aussie by more twice and have beaten the Argentinians by the same, but for me it’s a tad too high, which leads me to my call
Although I am going with the Springboks here, there is the knowledge that the All Blacks are the All Blacks and quite frankly the best in the world by some distance. Can they be beaten, sure they can, and we saw Ireland beat them, the Boks coming within a point last year. Do I think it will happen this week? No I did not, I just feel that +22.5 is a tad too high.
Kick off is scheduled for 09h35 GMT +2 on Saturday in Wellington. The referee for this game will be Nigel Owens (WAL), Click here for the Weather in Wellington and if you want to follow the game on Twitter click here for the Hashtag #NZLvRSA
Call: Springboks +22.5 at evens for 1 unit
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