End of Year Tours – Other Games
Italy v Georgia
KO: Florence – 16h00 GMT +2 (Handicap: Italy -8.5)
Initially during the week I suspected that this handicap would be around the 10 – 12pt mark, sadly any value has been eradicated by a single digit quote.
My suggestion would be if you like the Italians, go with this minus, as a Georgian plus punter I cannot have anything below ten, it simply does not have any value. I cannot have the Italians either.
Call: NO BET CALLED at current levels
USA v Samoa
KO: San Sebastián (ESP) – 19h30 GMT +2 (Handicap: Samoa -4.5)
Samoa take on the USA today at a neutral venue in Spain. When I saw this handicap about the Samoans, I have to say I was surprised. I am amazed that the Bookies have so much respect for an American team that has been poor for a while now. At current levels, I cannot be having any of the USA.
I will have a go here, but a very small play, like they say when it seems too good to be true, it usually is not. Tread carefully here.
Call: Samoa -4.5 for 0.25 units.
Russia v Namibia
KO: Krasnodar – 13h00 GMT +2 (Handicap: Russia -10.5)
Although Russia have beaten Namibia in the past outside of Windhoek, I am of the opinion that Namibia will have the better of the Ruskies. I reckon the Bookies have got this wrong. I feel the value lies with Namibia and they should prevail by around the 5 to 10pt mark. Any plus for Namibia is value.
Call: Russia +10.5 at 0.25 units
Brazil v Māori All Blacks
KO: São Paulo – 18h00 GMT +2 (Handicap: Māori All Blacks -80.5)
Brazil building the rugby after hosting the Olympic Sevens, but seriously they will be no match for the Māori All Blacks. The handicap is set at a level dangerously close to my MINUS LIMIT of -88.5 A few years ago I set myself a limit where I would not punt a team higher than minus 88.5 on the Minus, instead I would either have a PLUS bet or NO BET.
Whilst a big minus is handicapped by TIME, therefore it’s the Minus teams ability to overcome the third competitor TIME more so than the weaker opposition.
This game effectively should be called: Māori All Blacks v 80 MINS. My suggestion is to take the Minus, Brazil are simply useless at Rugby and should be dealt a rugby lesson by the Māori All Blacks. But again, keep stakes low here.
Call: Māori All Blacks -80.5 at 0.25 units
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