SA Let us Down
Last week we weren’t far away from 2 out of 2, but unfortunately Australia let us down in what was a very big win for Wales. It was the 1st game they have won against the Wallabies in 14 matches.
The boks left it to the last minute but as the say in golf, there’s no description on the score card and the same goes for betting. Just goes to show how badly we underperformed and still won which indicates it was a good bet to begin with.
They can’t all glide home and we roll on to this week with a hefty but in my opinion a very make-able value Bet.
South Africa to win at 11/20
The boks were hopeless against France and still managed a win. We tried to play a territorial game and failed dismally often finding the man and not grass. Looking at Scotland’s pack I think they will battle against a serious South African unit. We all know games start up front and although Scotland have their best backline I’ve EVER seen them produce, they momentum from the forwards so the backs have something to work with.
Finn Russel and Hogg will need to be shut down but if we keep possession and use our big ball carriers, we should win by 7 plus.
I’ve gone for outright because Scotland will be competitive and I’d rather take 5.5/10 return and be comfortable then try and stretch for the -4.5 spread and lose out. Same goes for those +- 2.5/3.5 spreads, take them because it gives you a bit of breathing room that can be crucial. A good reflection of this was when we played England a couple weeks ago and my best bet I put forward was SA +2.5 and we lost by 1. Don’t be too greedy!
Ireland to win at 37/20
I can hear the sceptics whilst typing this value Bet and it is a slight risk if I’m being honest. The All Blacks are always a difficult team to bet against but if any Irish team can beat them, it’s this one. A huge loss for them is Connor Murray, it must be said but the rest of the team is the strongest they can field. The Irish will be very strong at set piece with that front row and the two giants they have playing 4 and 5.
The blueprint to beat New Zealand is out there and you can bet if there’s any mastermind coach who can identify it, it’s Joe Schmidt. He’s not only significantly improved the national side but the countries rugby in general by putting systems in place domestically. Sexton we know will kick all or most points on offer and will look to pin New Zealand back in their half. Marmion will have a busy day sweeping with Irelands defensive pattern, you can be sure to see some dabs in behind by Barrett and co. All things considered though if Ireland play to the standard they know they are capable of, with the Aviva orchestra driving them for the last 20 minutes, you may just see history made on Saturday.
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